Understanding Aurora Forecasts

Understanding Aurora Forecasts

April 8, 2024

Learn to interpret aurora forecasts and maximize your chances of seeing the Northern Lights.

Key Forecast Elements

  1. Kp Index (0-9 scale)
  2. Solar wind speed
  3. Cloud cover
  4. Moon phase
  5. Local light pollution

Reading the Kp Index

  • 0-2: Low activity
  • 3-4: Moderate activity
  • 5+: Strong activity
  • 7+: Exceptional displays

Best Viewing Conditions

  • Clear, dark skies
  • New moon period
  • Away from city lights
  • High Kp index
  • Fast solar wind speed

Reliable Forecast Sources

  • Space Weather Prediction Center
  • Aurora Service
  • Local weather services
  • Mobile aurora apps